Dennis Gorelik

Covid-19 epidemic is over in NYC:


Covid-19 kills mostly old people:

About 0.95% of people 75+ years old - died.

The reason why Covid-19 epidemic in NYC is over - is because most people in NYC were quickly exposed to Coronavirus. Most got immunity, but ~0.13% died.

Covid-19 epidemic still continues in other places across the US (which were able to delay the spread of Coronavirus):

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On the Diamond Princess, where most of the passengers were in their 60's and 70's and you would expect at least a 5% fatality rate, the actual rate when everyone was tested was 2% of those with symptoms, 1% of those who tested positive, and 0.2% of all the passengers.

A global lockdown doesn't just destroy the economy. It kills people. In some Caribbean islands, 80% the economy is tourism. Now, they suddenly have 80% unemployment and people can't eat. Every year, global GDP increases 2.5% and global life expectancy increases 0.2 years. A 3 month lockdown (what it took in China and Korea) means a 10 year setback, or a 2 year reduction in life expectancy. That is 116 million people killed through reduced income to pay for food, sanitation, and health care.
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