dennisgorelik: 2020-06-13 in my home office (Default)
Donald Trump said today: "in the war against Chinese virus".

So Trump implies that the US is kind of in a war with China.

WTF?
Trump should have known that the problem is not the Coronavirus itself, but our society panic about it.
Bringing up that war reference and blaming Chinese for detecting Coronavirus - will make the panic situation worse, not better.

I think that Trump will lose the next presidential election (2020-11-03).
dennisgorelik: 2020-06-13 in my home office (Default)
Today I learned that:
1) Jeff Bezos divorced recently (2019-01-09).

2) Donald Trump's henchman blackmailed Jeff Bezos with some photos [of naked Bezos and his mistress].

How National Enquirer prepared for blackmailing Jeff Bezos:
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Posted Jan 28, 2019 @ 9:19AM
Jeff Bezos Shared Wife’s Pillow Talk With Mistress Lauren Sanchez

MORE SHAME FOR BEZOS! THE NEVER-BEFORE-SEEN TEXTS SENT TO HIS MISTRESS
“I love you, alive girl. I will show you with my body, and my lips and my eyes."
.....
SHOCKING PHOTOS!
JEFF BEZOS CREEPS OUT OF MISTRESS' LOVE NEST
The billionaire cheater was caught red-handed!
Posted Jan 23, 2019 @ 17:23PM
.....
Posted Jan 14, 2019 @ 18:45PM
Jeff Bezos Shared Wife’s Pillow Talk With Mistress Lauren Sanchez
ULTIMATE BETRAYAL
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~


Discussion on Hacker News
dennisgorelik: 2020-06-13 in my home office (Default)
As a result of all these "Trump vs Putin" discussions, I asked myself: am I qualified to evaluate Putin and Trump's relationships?

Considering how much effort over the years I put to understand these two populist politicians -- I think I am well qualified.

One interesting sign is that I voted in both Putin and Trump Presidential elections (in 2000 and in 2016).

My guesstimate is that there are only about several thousand people like that in the entire world.
dennisgorelik: 2020-06-13 in my home office (Default)
I am starting to suspect that Trump blames North Korea in order to allow himself to normalize US relationships with Russia (in order to help his friend Putin, who backed Trump's presidential campaign).
Putin orchestrates that "Trum vs Kim Jong Un feud" show by overtly providing missiles and nuclear materials to the degree when North Korea looks scary enough to keep the feud show running (but still not really too dangerous to North Korea's neighbours).
Putin's ultimate goal in this situation is to make the US public forget about Crimea annexation by Russia in 2014 and get new oil drilling technologies from US corporations to Russia.
Obviously the US drilling corporations want to sell these drilling services to Russia too, so they lobby for lifting the sanctions through the Congress.
dennisgorelik: 2020-06-13 in my home office (Default)
I think these sanctions would end up being mostly symbolic and would have no real effect. Which is exactly how it should be, considering that some limited lobbying of US elections by other countries is a good thing (it keeps countries together).

=====
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2017/06/14/senate_approves_new_russia_sanctions_limits_on_trump_134193.html
The overwhelmingly bipartisan vote of 97-2 sent a message to Vladimir Putin that lawmakers on both sides of the aisle are serious about punishing Russia for its actions last year -- and sent a message to Trump that they're serious about ensuring that those sanctions stay in place until Congress is ready to lift them.
=====

---
https://www.reuters.com/.../us-usa-russia-sanctions...
German Chancellor Angela Merkel's spokesman ... said it was "strange" that sanctions intended to punish Russia for alleged interference in the U.S. elections could also trigger penalties against European companies.
---
dennisgorelik: 2020-06-13 in my home office (Default)
===========
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GmNN2MCJ-7U&feature=youtu.be&t=1004
Letterman: But you are worth like 4 billion dollars or something?
Trump: I hope so.
...
Trump: We are living in very precarious times. If you look at what certain countries are doing to this country, such as Japan. I mean, they've totally taken advantage of the country. ...
===========

Trump did not change.

Back then he was vague about his wealth he is vague about his wealth now.

Back then he was blaming other countries (Japan) for taking advantage of the US. Now he is blaming other countries (China and Mexico) for taking advantage of the US.

More Trump history.
dennisgorelik: 2020-06-13 in my home office (Default)
Donald Trump suggested to pay for the wall from the new 20% tax on Mexican imports. Lawmakers refused to cooperate. So Trump changed his mind.
http://www.cnn.com/2017/01/26/politics/donald-trump-mexico-import-tax-border-wall/index.html

That made me think if Trump understands what he is going to do with the economy.
But the thing is that economy is not the only Trump's consideration. More importantly, he has to comply with public opinion. Unfortunately that public opinion is self-destructive on multiple issues.
So balancing public opinion vs practical economic goals is hard.

I believe that in order to increase our economic benefits - we should reduce government regulations ~5x (or, at least, 2x for starters).
Which means that government should work mostly on reducing regulations, not on introducing new ones.

However that thing with reducing government regulations is actually not that simple.
Complex government regulations could serve an important role of circumventing popular (but dumb) public opinion.
For example:
1) Complex tax code (such as tax deductions) allows to effectively reduce taxes without offending popular public opinion that we should tax rich people a lot.
2) Introducing legal minimum wage allows to discriminate against low skill people and keep them away from affluent neighborhoods.
Etc.

Politics is really complex and hard to grasp.
dennisgorelik: (2009)
10 months ago when I took isidewith quiz, Trump was much further down.
But now he moved closer to my views and is in the second place (after Gary Johnson).
Now Trump and I share 79% of views (was 69% back in October 2015).
It looks like Trump is doing what analysts predicted he would be doing: after winning Republican primaries he changed his rhetoric to embrace some popular Democratic and Libertarian views.

Hillary Clinton was at 67% and now she is down to 64%.
It's a wrong move after winning Democratic Primaries.
It looks like she does not want to win this elections.
:-)

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